USD/CHF is expected to trade in a lower range. It is underpinned by the franc sales on cross trades versus major currencies, negative Swiss interest rates, and the threat of the Swiss National Bank CHF-selling intervention. Thursday, SNB’s Danthine said that negative rates are necessary to establish a «differential» to the low interest rates in the world’s major economies, thus curb demand for the franc and that the Swiss franc is currently overvalued. But USD/CHF gains are tempered by the weaker dollar sentiment and positions adjustment ahead of the US long weekend.
The daily chart is positive-biased as the MACD and stochastics are bullish, although latter is at overbought levels, five-day moving average is rising above 15-day moving average.
The pair is trading below its pivot point. It is likely to trade in a lower range as long as it remains below the pivot point. Short positions are recommended with the first target at 0.9260. A break of that target will move the pair further downwards to 0.9215. The pivot point stands at 0.9410. In case the price moves in the opposite direction and bounces back from the support level, it will move above its pivot point. It is likely to move further to the upside. According to that scenario, long positions are recommended with the first target at 0.9450 and the second target at 0.95.
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