The USD/JPY pair is trading inside a triangle pattern that is very similar to one, which equity markets have been showing diring the last couple of weeks. With the FOMC meeting tonight, I expect volatility to rise and we should probably see a breakout above or below the triangle.
Black lines – triangle pattern
USD/JPY is trading around the Ichimoku cloud and inside the triangle pattern as is showed above in the 4-hour chart. Today's rejection in the area of 121 will increase chances of a move below the cloud towards 119.50. Breaking below the level of 119 will increase chances of a push towards 118-117.
Red line – support
USD/JPY is moving upwards making higher highs and higher lows. The trend is bullish in the short-term as long as the price is above the red trend line support. Breaking below 120.40 will give us a short-term sell signal. Rising volatility is expected tonight, so traders should be very cautious and expect big price swings that can easily be faded.
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