The Dollar index is pulling back to back test the breakout level. The downward sloping channel was broken upwards and we can see the back test now. The upward move from the last week’s lows could be seen as an impulsive upward wave and we are at the corrective pullback now.
5 waves up are followed by 3 waves down and at least 5 more waves up. So, with the Dollar index already at the 50% retracement, I do not expect this pullback to push the price lower than the 61.8% retracement. I expect an upward reversal from the 61.8% or the 50% retracement levels.
The weekly chart and wave count is shown above. Bulls need to hold above the kijun-sen (yellow line) and break resistance of 95.20. The next level of resistance is at 97. Bulls need another higher high this week with a higher low in order for a bullish reversal sequence to start.
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